Guide

Reading a cap rate without being misled

A capitalization rate relates a property’s net operating income to its value. Reading it correctly requires attention to the income calculation, property condition, tenancy, growth expectations, and comparable sales.

LEYDARS ResearchJuly 20265 min read

The capitalization rate is the number most people reach for first when they size up a commercial property. It is quoted in headlines, printed on flyers, and used as shorthand for whether a deal is cheap or dear. It is also, more often than not, misunderstood. Used well, a cap rate is a fast, honest read on what an income stream is worth. Used carelessly, it flatters a bad asset and punishes a good one.

What a cap rate actually is

A cap rate is simply net operating income divided by price. Net operating income is what the property earns after operating expenses and before debt service. Divide that by the purchase price and you get the going-in, unlevered yield: the return the property produces in year one if you paid all cash. A property earning a given income at a lower price carries a higher cap rate, and vice versa.

A cap rate is a yield, not a grade. A high number is not automatically good, and a low number is not automatically expensive.

What it signals

Because it strips out financing, the cap rate lets you compare properties on the strength of their income alone. It is a clean way to translate a price into a yield and back again: fix an income and a target yield, and the implied value falls out of the arithmetic. That is why it anchors so much of how investors talk about value.

It also encodes the market's view of risk and growth. Lower cap rates tend to attach to assets the market sees as safer or faster-growing; higher cap rates attach to assets seen as riskier, older, or in weaker locations. Read across a set of comparable sales, the spread in cap rates is really a spread in how the market prices risk.

Where it misleads

The cap rate is only as honest as the income beneath it. A few of the ways it quietly deceives:

  • The income is a snapshot, not a trend. A cap rate built on in-place rent says nothing about whether that rent is above or below market, or whether a large tenant is about to leave.
  • Expenses can be understated. Leave out a real cost and the net operating income rises, the cap rate rises with it, and the property looks like a better yield than it is.
  • It ignores capital. Two buildings can show the same cap rate while one needs a new roof and the other does not. The yield does not see the deferred maintenance.
  • It says nothing about your returns. The cap rate is unlevered and pre-tax. Financing, appreciation, and tax treatment can move your actual return far from the going-in yield.

How to use it

Treat the cap rate as the first question, not the last answer. Use it to size a property quickly and to compare it against real, recent sales of similar assets. Then test the income it rests on: is the rent at market, are the expenses complete, what does the property need in capital, and what happens when the leases roll. A defensible value comes from comparable evidence and a full look at the cash flows, not from a single ratio.